Development and Forecast of FTTX in the World

- Jun 28, 2019-

This article only represents personal views.
FTTX began to develop vigorously in the 21st century. Before that, it was in a low-speed development stage. Since entering the 21st century, the development of FTTX has been amazing compared to other broadband access methods. EXFOR's data shows the scale of broadband development in the world after entering the 21st century, as shown in the figure below.

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Image: World Broadband Development Scale. Jpg
As can be seen from the above figure, although the current number of DSL access methods is far greater than that of other broadband access methods, the development rate of FTTX is much faster than that of other broadband access methods. Especially compared to DSL, the growth rate is several times., even dozens of times. By the end of 2007, according to the statistics of IEEE communications companies, the number of FTTX users worldwide has reached 29 million, and FTTX in 2005-2012 will accelerate development, as shown in the figure below.

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Image: The scale of development of the world FTTX. Jpg


By 2012, FTTX users will exceed 100 million, and the proportion of FTTX access to broadband access will increase from 7.5 in 2005 to 16. According to a report in the September 2009 "Network Telecom" Journal, the latest market report "FTTX Market Report" released by IDATE, a research institute, shows that by the end of 2008, there were 48 million FTTX users worldwide. The year-on-year increase was 39. In the next five years, the average annual growth rate is about 2l<UNK> -33 <UNK>. By 2014, the user size is expected to reach 114.4 billion; In-Stat predicts that in 2012, FTTX users worldwide will reach 116 million; LYnn Hutcheson, a senior analyst at OVUM RHK, is even more confident in the development of FTTX. He predicts that by 2012, the world's FTTX users will reach 120 million. According to the report on the "Light Wave Communications" website, the global broadband statistical survey data published by Point Topic, an international research institute, shows that. By the end of June 2009, there were already 21 economies(countries or regions) in the world with 56.3 million FTrx users reaching 1 % of the world's fiber optic Internet access, South Korea ranked first with 46, and Hong Kong and Japan were about 33 respectively. <UNK>, About 30 people ranked second and third, and mainland China ranked 16th. Although the development situation of FTTX is very good, the development of various regions and countries in the world is very uneven. At present, there are mainly three FTTX more developed areas. North America, the EU region and the Asia-Pacific region, North America mainly use GPON technology to achieve FTTX, and mostly FTTH. The main representative is the United States; The EU region also mainly uses GPON technology, mainly representing the United Kingdom, Sweden and the Netherlands; The Asia-Pacific region mainly uses EPON implementation technology, mainly representing Japan, South Korea, Hong Kong, China, Taiwan, China and mainland China. The quarterly growth rate of the world's FTTX users reached 12.6 <UNK>. In Asia Pacific and North America, quarterly growth rates were above 20.

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